Econ & Policy
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Roads, Roads Everywhere. But No Room to Drive.
India is in the midst of a massive infrastructure boom. Cities are aggressively building new roads and flyovers, widening and resurfacing old roads. Greater Mumbai alone spends upwards of ₹10,000 crores annually (including projects funded by the Centre). Delhi is not far behind. The top 10 cities probably spend close to ₹50,000 crores a year.… Continue reading
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Fully Charged. Fully Priced?
In the last few years, India has significantly ramped up Capex in the power sector, be it solar, grid connectivity, transmission and distribution infra, and more. Total power generation capacity more than doubled from 248 GW in 2014 to 520 GW today. Within this, solar has jumped from 2.8 GW to 110 GW. The transmission… Continue reading
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India Isn’t Spending Less. It’s Spending Differently.
We’ve grown up in a world where consumer spending meant FMCG. So when FMCG growth slows, we instinctively conclude that consumers are not spending. But that’s a lazy conclusion. The Household Consumption Expenditure Survey (HCES) 2023-24 provides a clue – the share of food has fallen sharply, while non-discretionary spending has risen. However, generic words… Continue reading
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You can run, but there’s nowhere to hide
The current Middle East crisis is not merely about oil and fuel, but a massive inflation shock rippling through the global economy. Reduced supply has triggered price spikes in petrol, diesel, aviation fuel, gas, fertilisers, and downstream chemicals. It’s not just oil derivatives—critical industrial inputs like aluminium, helium, methanol, sulphur and ammonia are hit as… Continue reading
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Banks Are Not Dinosaurs — Yet
I recently read an article claiming that fintechs and NBFCs will use AI to dominate lending, while traditional banks fade into irrelevance. It sounded plausible at first. But the more I thought about it, the less convinced I became. The essence of the argument is as follows: Today’s consumer wants speed and convenience (i.e. instant… Continue reading
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You Can’t Bet Against Human Nature
Since time immemorial, humans have gambled. In Harappa, Mohenjo-Daro and other places, numerous dice were found. Our ancestors enjoyed games of strategy and chance in 2500 BC. In ancient Greece, Rome, Japan, China, and elsewhere, people loved bets and wagers, even punting on gladiator contests and animal races. But throughout history, rulers and governments have… Continue reading
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5 Things I Learnt About Inflation
On 12th February, the government announced a new consumer price inflation (CPI) series. The earlier CPI used 2012 as the base year; the new one uses 2024. This was much overdue. Consumption patterns have changed dramatically since 2012. The old series still tracked stuff like VCRs and cassettes, which are pretty much extinct. Digital expenditure,… Continue reading
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A Fact Sheet in Search of Facts
As expected, the US-India trade deal has hogged headlines. The opposition is crying foul, the usual critics of everything have rediscovered their vocal chords, and social media has done what it does best – declared an apocalypse. Amidst all the noise and hot air, the US government bowled an unplayable googly that was later ruled… Continue reading
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India’s New Labour Codes – 2: Wage & Benefit Uniformity
When “wages” finally mean wages — and everyone gets counted Last week, we discussed how the simplification of labour laws benefits employers. But simplification is not a one-sided gift. Employees, too, stand to gain — and in some cases, quite substantially. Overlapping definitions and rules not only increased compliance costs, but employees often did not… Continue reading
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India’s New Labour Codes: A Once-in-three-Generations Cleanup
From 29 tangled laws to 4 clear codes — why simplification matters India’s new labour codes were finally (finally!) made effective, only six years after being enacted. Some are touting this as the biggest reform since GST, maybe even bigger. Like GST, it impacts every enterprise or business; but it also directly impacts every employee.… Continue reading
